Multimorbidity in Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease and Its Associations With Adverse Cardiovascular Events and Healthcare Costs: A Real-World Evidence Study.

Background: Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) remains the leading cause of mortality and disability in the United States and worldwide. Objective: To assess the multimorbidity burden and its associations with adverse cardiovascular events (ACE) and healthcare costs among patients with ASCVD. Methods: This is a retrospective observational cohort study using Aetna claims database. Patients with ASCVD were identified during the study period (1/1/2018-10/31/2021). The earliest ASCVD diagnosis date was identified as the index date. Qualified patients were ≥18 years of age and had ≥12 months of health plan enrollment before and after the index date. Comorbid conditions were assessed using all data available within 12 months prior to and including the index date. Association rule mining was applied to identify comorbid condition combinations. ACEs and healthcare costs were assessed using all data within 12 months after the index date. Multivariable generalized linear models were performed to examine the associations between multimorbidity and ACEs and healthcare costs. Results: Of 223 923 patients with ASCVD (mean [SD] age, 73.6 [10.7] years; 42.2% female), 98.5% had ≥2, and 80.2% had ≥5 comorbid conditions. The most common comorbid condition dyad was hypertension-hyperlipidemia (78.7%). The most common triad was hypertension-hyperlipidemia-pain disorders (61.1%). The most common quartet was hypertension-hyperlipidemia-pain disorders-diabetes (30.2%). The most common quintet was hypertension-hyperlipidemia-pain disorders-diabetes-obesity (16%). The most common sextet was hypertension-hyperlipidemia-pain disorders-diabetes-obesity-osteoarthritis (7.6%). The mean [SD] number of comorbid conditions was 7.1 [3.2]. The multimorbidity burden tended to increase in older age groups and was comparatively higher in females and in those with higher social vulnerability. The increased number of comorbid conditions was significantly associated with increased ACEs and increased healthcare costs. Discussion: Extremely prevalent multimorbidity should be considered in the context of clinical decision-making to optimize secondary prevention of ASCVD. Conclusions: Multimorbidity was extremely prevalent among patients with ASCVD. Multimorbidity patterns varied considerably across ASCVD patients and by age, gender, and social vulnerability status. Multimorbidity was strongly associated with ACEs and healthcare costs.

Comparative Effectiveness of Transcutaneous Afferent Patterned Stimulation Therapy for Essential Tremor: A Randomized Pragmatic Clinical Trial.

Background: Transcutaneous afferent patterned stimulation (TAPS) is a wrist-worn, non-invasive therapy delivering calibrated stimulation to the median and radial nerves. Previous randomized controlled studies have demonstrated the efficacy and safety of TAPS therapy in some patients with essential tremor (ET), but evidence supporting therapeutic benefits of TAPS versus standard of care (SOC) is lacking. This randomized prospective study evaluated the clinical benefit of adding TAPS treatment to SOC versus SOC alone. Methods: This randomized pragmatic trial recruited patients from a large health plan's Commercially Insured and Medicare Advantage population. All 310 patients received a TAPS device and were randomized 1:1 to either one month adding TAPS therapy to usual care (TX arm) or usual care with tremor assessment only (SOC arm). The pre-specified endpoints were changes in tremor power measured by motion sensors on the device (primary) and improvement in Bain & Findley Activities of Daily Living (BF-ADL) upper limb scores (secondary) between TX and SOC in all patients who completed the one-month study. Results: 276 patients completed the one-month study (N = 133 TX, N = 143 SOC). The study met the primary and secondary endpoints, with significantly reduced tremor power in TX compared with SOC (0.017 (0.003) versus 0.08 (0.014) (m/s2)2; geometric mean (SE); p < 0.0001) and greater improvement in the BF-ADL score in TX than SOC (1.6 (0.43) vs 0.2 (0.37) points; mean (SE); p < 0.05). No serious device-related adverse events were reported. Discussion: This trial demonstrates that adding TAPS treatment to SOC significantly improves tremor power and BF-ADLs in patients with ET compared to SOC alone over one month of home use. Highlights: This study found that adding TAPS treatment to SOC significantly improves tremor power and BF-ADL scores in patients with ET compared to SOC alone over one month of home use. This real-world evidence study suggests that non-invasive TAPS therapy is a safe and valuable treatment option for patients with ET.

Comparative safety of conjugated estrogens/bazedoxifene versus estrogen/progestin combination hormone therapy among women in the United States: a multidatabase cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the risk of select safety outcomes including endometrial cancer, endometrial hyperplasia, and breast cancer among women using conjugated estrogens/bazedoxifene (CE/BZA) as compared with estrogen/progestin combination hormone therapy (EP). METHODS: We conducted a new-user cohort study in five US healthcare claims databases representing more than 92 million women. We included CE/BZA or EP new users from May 1, 2014, to August 30, 2019. EP users were propensity score (PS) matched to users of CE/BZA. Incidence of endometrial cancer, endometrial hyperplasia, breast cancer, and eight additional cancer and cardiovascular outcomes were ascertained using claims-based algorithms. Rate ratios (RR) and differences pooled across databases were estimated using random-effects models. RESULTS: The study population included 10,596 CE/BZA and 33,818 PS-matched EP new users. Rates of endometrial cancer and endometrial hyperplasia were slightly higher among CE/BZA users (1.6 and 0.4 additional cases per 10,000 person-years), although precision was limited because of small numbers of cases (endometrial cancer: RR, 1.50 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 0.79-2.88]; endometrial hyperplasia: RR, 1.69 [95% CI, 0.51-5.61]). Breast cancer incidence was lower in CE/BZA users (9.1 fewer cases per 10,000 person-years; RR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.58-1.05). Rates of other outcomes were slightly higher among CE/BZA users, but with confidence intervals compatible with a wider range of possible associations. CONCLUSIONS: CE/BZA users might experience slightly higher rates of endometrial cancer and endometrial hyperplasia, and a lower rate of breast cancer, than EP users in the first years of use.

Anxiety, Depression, and Stress Reaction/Adjustment Disorders and Their Associations with Healthcare Resource Utilization and Costs Among Newly Diagnosed Patients With Breast Cancer.

Background: Breast cancer is the most common cancer among women in the United States. Newly diagnosed patients with breast cancer often experience anxiety, depression, and stress. However, the impact of psychological distress on healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and costs has not been adequately assessed. Objectives: To evaluate the incidence and prevalence of anxiety, depression, and stress reaction/adjustment disorder among patients newly diagnosed with breast cancer, to examine HCRU and costs, and to assess the association of these psychiatric disorders with costs. Methods: This retrospective observational cohort study was conducted using a large US administrative claims database with an index date of newly diagnosed breast cancer. Demographics and comorbidities (including anxiety, depression, and stress reaction/adjustment disorder) were assessed using data collected 12 months before and after the index date. HCRU and costs were assessed using data collected 12 months after the index date. Generalized linear regressions were performed to examine the association between healthcare costs and anxiety, depression, and stress reaction/adjustment disorder. Results: Of 6392 patients with newly diagnosed breast cancer, 38.2% were diagnosed with psychiatric disorders including anxiety (27.7%), depression (21.9%), or stress reaction/adjustment disorder (6%). The incidence of these psychiatric disorders was 15% and the prevalence was 23.2%. Patients with anxiety, depression, or stress reaction/adjustment disorder had higher rates of several types of HCRU (P < .0001) and higher total all-cause costs compared with patients without these psychiatric disorders (P < .0001). Patients with incident anxiety, depression, or stress reaction/adjustment disorder incurred higher all-cause costs in the first year following breast cancer diagnosis than those with prevalent anxiety, depression, or stress reaction/adjustment disorder (P < .0003), or those without these psychiatric disorders (P < .0001). Discussion: Of patients with anxiety, depression, or stress reaction/adjustment disorder, those with incident psychiatric disorders had higher healthcare costs, suggesting that new-onset psychological distress may contribute to higher costs incurred by the payer. Timely treatment of psychiatric disorders in this population may improve clinical outcomes and reduce HCRU and costs. Conclusions: Anxiety, depression, and stress reaction/adjustment disorder were common among patients newly diagnosed with breast cancer and were associated with increased healthcare costs in the first year following breast cancer diagnosis.

Patterns of Comorbidity and Multimorbidity Among Patients With Multiple Sclerosis in a Large US Commercially Insured and Medicare Advantage Population.

Background: Comorbidities are common in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS), thus increasing the complexity of disease management and economic burden and worsening their prognosis and quality of life. Real-world evidence comparing comorbidities and multimorbidity patterns of commercially insured vs Medicare enrollees with MS is lacking. Objective: To evaluate the patterns of comorbidity and multimorbidity among patients with MS in a US commercially insured and Medicare Advantage population. Methods: This retrospective observational cohort study was conducted using Aetna health claims data from January 1, 2015, to October 31, 2019. Eligibility criteria were (1) at least 3 MS-related inpatient/outpatient (ICD-10-CM: G35), or disease-modifying therapy claims within 1 year (date of first claim = index date); (2) Aetna commercial health plan or Medicare Advantage medical and pharmacy benefits at least 12 months pre-/post-index; and (3) age 18 and older. Commercially insured patients, Medicare Advantage patients younger than 65 years of age, and Medicare Advantage patients 65 years and older were compared. Results: Among 5000 patients (mean [SD] age, 52.6 [12.9]; 75.2% female), 53% had commercial insurance and 47% had Medicare Advantage (59.2% disabled age <65). Medicare Advantage patients were older (age <65: 53.3 [7.9]; age ≥65: 70.8 [5.2]) vs commercial (age, 45.7 [10.2]), had greater comorbidity burden (Charlson Comorbidity Index; age <65: 1.17 [1.64], age ≥65: 1.65 [1.95]) vs commercial (0.53 [1.02]) (all P < .0001). Symptoms specific to MS (ie, malaise, fatigue, depression, spasms, fibromyalgia, convulsions) were more common among patients younger than 65 (all P < .0001). Age-related and other comorbidities (ie, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, dyspepsia, osteoarthritis, osteoporosis, glaucoma, diabetes, cerebrovascular, cancer) were more common among patients 65 years and older Medicare Advantage (all P < .0001). Multiple comorbidities were highly prevalent (median, 4 comorbidities), particularly among Medicare Advantage patients younger than 65 (median, 6) and Medicare Advantage patients 65 and older (median, 7). Conclusions: Comorbidities and multimorbidity patterns differed between patients with MS with commercial insurance and patients with Medicare Advantage. Multimorbidity was highly prevalent among patients with MS and should be considered in the context of clinical decision making to ensure comprehensive MS management and improve outcomes.

Multimorbidity and Its Associations With Anxiety and Depression Among Newly Diagnosed Patients With Breast Cancer: A Retrospective Observational Cohort Study in a US Commercially Insured and Medicare Advantage Population.

BACKGROUND: Multimorbidity is common in patients with breast cancer, thus increasing the complexity of cancer care and economic burden, worsening their prognosis and quality of life. The prevalence of multimorbidity and its influence on psychological distress among patients with breast cancer have not been well characterized. OBJECTIVES: To examine the prevalence of multimorbidity and its associations with anxiety and depression among newly diagnosed patients with breast cancer. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective observational cohort study using a large administrative claims database. Patients with breast cancer (ICD-10-CM: C50.x) were identified during the study period (1/1/2017-12/31/2020). The index date was defined as the diagnosis date of breast cancer. Demographics and comorbid conditions were assessed using data within 12 months prior to the index date. Multimorbidity was defined as the presence of ≥2 comorbid conditions. Anxiety and depression were examined using data within 12 months after the index date. Multivariable logistic regressions were performed to examine the associations between multimorbidity and anxiety and depression, adjusting for sociodemographic factors. RESULTS: Of the 6392 patients with newly diagnosed breast cancer, 86.9% had multimorbidity at the time of breast cancer diagnosis. The median number of comorbid conditions was 5. Overall, 27.7% experienced anxiety, and 21.9% experienced depression in the first year following breast cancer diagnosis. An increased number of comorbid conditions was associated with elevated prevalence of both anxiety and depression. After adjusting for possible confounding factors, number of comorbid conditions was significantly associated with risk of anxiety (adjusted odds ratio [95% confidence interval (CI)]: 1.17 [1.15-1.19]), and depression (1.24 [1.21-1.26]); all P < .0001. CONCLUSIONS: Multimorbidity was highly prevalent among patients with breast cancer and was strongly associated with increased risk of anxiety and depression in the first year following breast cancer diagnosis. The presence of multimorbidity, anxiety, and depression should be considered in the context of clinical decision making to optimize cancer care and improve mental health and quality of life.

Multiple Comorbidities, Psychiatric Disorders, Healthcare Resource Utilization and Costs Among Adults with Essential Tremor: A Retrospective Observational Study in a Large US Commercially Insured and Medicare Advantage Population.

Background: Essential tremor (ET), the most common movement disorder, often impairs patients' ability to perform activities of daily living, mental health, and quality of life. Objectives: To assess comorbidities, psychiatric disorders, healthcare resource utilization (HCRU), and costs among patients with ET compared with patients without ET. Methods: This retrospective observational study was conducted using a large US administrative claims database. Patients with ET were identified during the study period (1/1/2017-12/31/2019). The earliest claim date with ET diagnosis was identified as the index date. An index date was assigned randomly for each non-ET patient. Patients had to be at least 22 years old and be enrolled in the health plan for at least 6 months before and at least 12 months after the index date. Patients with and those without ET were matched 1:1 on age, gender, payer type, and first 3 digits of their ZIP code. Comorbidities were assessed using data within 6 months prior to the index date. Psychiatric disorders, HCRU, and costs were examined using data within 12 months after the index date. Results: The mean (SD) age of ET patients (n = 5286) was 70.8 (11.8) years, 49.1% were female, and 82.9% were Medicare Advantage members. In the 12 months following the index date, 26.0% of patients had no insurance claims for ET-related pharmacotherapy or invasive therapies. Patients with ET had a higher number of comorbidities than non-ET patients (5.3 [3.2] vs 4.0 [3.3]); a higher prevalence of psychiatric disorders (depression: 25.6% vs 15.3%; adjusted odds ratio (AOR) [95% CI], 1.56 [1.41-1.73]; anxiety: 27.7% vs 15.5%, AOR: 1.78 [1.61-1.96]); and higher total healthcare costs: $17 560 [$39 972] vs $13 237 [$27 098], adjusted cost ratio [95% CI]: 1.11 [1.06-1.16]; all P<.0001. Discussion: Highly prevalent multiple comorbidities and psychiatric disorders should be considered in the context of clinical decision-making to optimize ET management. Conclusions: This study represents the largest observational study to report ET disease and economic burdens in a real-world setting. The data demonstrate increased comorbidity, mental health, and healthcare cost burdens among ET patients compared with matched non-ET patients. These findings underscore the need for innovative care for this complex population.

Multiple comorbid conditions and healthcare resource utilization among adult patients with hyperkalemia: A retrospective observational cohort study using association rule mining.

Objectives: To estimate the prevalence of specific comorbid conditions (CCs) and multiple comorbid conditions (MCCs) among adult patients with hyperkalemia and examine the associations between MCCs and healthcare resource utilization (HRU) and costs. Methods: This retrospective observational cohort study was conducted using a large administrative claims database. We identified patients with hyperkalemia (ICD-10-CM: E87.5; or serum potassium >5.0 mEq/L; or NDC codes for either patiromer or sodium polystyrene sulfonate) during the study period (1/1/2016-6/30/2019). The earliest service/claim date with evidence of hyperkalemia was identified as index date. Qualified patients had ≥12 months of enrolment before and after index date, ≥18 years of age. Comorbid conditions were assessed using all data within 12 months prior to the index date. Healthcare resource utilization and costs were estimated using all data within 12 months after the index date. Association rule mining was applied to identify MCCs. Generalized linear models were used to examine the associations between MCCs and HRU and costs. Results: Of 22,154 patients with hyperkalemia, 94% had ≥3 CCs. The most common individual CCs were chronic kidney disease (CKD, 85%), hypertension (HTN, 83%), hyperlipidemia (HLD, 81%), and diabetes mellitus (DM, 47%). The most common dyad combination of CCs was CKD+HTN (71%). The most common triad combination was CKD+HTN+HLD (62%). The most common quartet combination was CKD+HTN+HLD+DM (36%). The increased number of CCs were significantly associated with increased ED visits, length of hospital stays, and total healthcare costs (all p-value < 0.0001). Conclusions: MCCs are very prevalent among patients with hyperkalemia and are strongly associated with HRU and costs.

Incidence of life-threatening events in children with Wolff-Parkinson-White syndrome: Analysis of a large claims database.

BACKGROUND: Previous estimates of life-threatening event (LTE) risk in Wolff-Parkinson-White (WPW) syndrome are limited by selection bias inherent to tertiary care referral-based cohorts. OBJECTIVE: This analysis sought to measure LTE incidence in children with WPW syndrome in a large contemporary representative population. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using claims data from the IBM MarketScan Research Databases, evaluating subjects with WPW syndrome (age 1-18 years) from any encounter between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2018. Subjects with congenital heart disease and cardiomyopathy were excluded. The primary outcome was diagnosis of ventricular fibrillation (VF); a composite outcome, LTE, was defined as occurrence of VF and/or cardiac arrest. VF and LTE rates were compared to matched representative controls without WPW syndrome (3:1 ratio). RESULTS: The prevalence of WPW syndrome was 0.03% (8733/26,684,581) over a median follow-up of 1.6 years (interquartile range 0.7-2.9 years). Excluding congenital heart disease/cardiomyopathy, 6946 subjects were analyzed. An LTE occurred in 49 subjects (0.7%), including VF in 20 (0.3%). The incidence of VF was 0.8 events per 1000 person-years, and the incidence of LTE was 1.9 events per 1000 person-years. There were no occurrences of VF in controls; the rate of LTE was 70 times higher in subjects with WPW syndrome (0.7%; 95% confidence interval 0.5%-0.9%) than in controls (0.01%; 95% confidence interval 0%-0.02%). CONCLUSION: The use of a large claims data set allowed for an evaluation of VF and LTE risk in an unselected pediatric population with WPW syndrome. The observed range of 0.8-1.9 events per 1000 person-years is consistent with prior reports from selected populations. A comparison of event rates to matched controls confirms and quantifies the significant elevation in VF and LTE risk in pediatric WPW syndrome.

A Predictive Model for Progression of Chronic Kidney Disease to Kidney Failure Using a Large Administrative Claims Database.

BACKGROUND: To create an appropriate chronic kidney disease (CKD) management program, we developed a predictive model to identify patients in a large administrative claims database with CKD stages 3 or 4 who were at high risk for progression to kidney failure. METHODS: The predictive model was developed and validated utilizing a subset of patients with CKD stages 3 or 4 derived from a large Aetna claims database. The study spanned 36 months, comprised of a 12-month (2015) baseline period and a 24-month (2016-2017) prediction period. All patients were ≥18 years of age and continuously enrolled for 36 months. Multivariate logistic regression was used to develop models. Prediction model performance measures included area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration, and gain and lift charts. RESULTS: Of the 74,114 patients identified as having CKD stages 3 or 4 during the baseline period, 2476 (3.3%) had incident kidney failure during the prediction period. The predictive model included the effect of numerous variables, including age, gender, CKD stage, hypertension (HTN), diabetes mellitus (DM), congestive heart failure, peripheral vascular disease, anemia, hyperkalemia (HK), prospective episode risk group score, and poor adherence to renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors. The strongest predictors of progression to kidney failure were CKD stage (4 vs 3), HTN, DM, and HK. The ROC and calibration analyses in the validation sample demonstrated good predictive accuracy (AUROC=0.844) and calibration. The top two prediction deciles identified 70.8% of patients who progressed to kidney failure during the prediction period. CONCLUSION: This novel predictive model had good accuracy for identifying, from a large national database, patients with CKD who were at high risk of progressing to kidney failure within 2 years. Early identification using this model could potentially lead to improved health outcomes and reduced healthcare expenditures in this at-risk population.

Resource utilization in children with paracorporeal continuous-flow ventricular assist devices.

BACKGROUND: Paracorporeal continuous-flow ventricular assist devices (PCF VAD) are increasingly used in pediatrics, yet PCF VAD resource utilization has not been reported to date. METHODS: Pediatric Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support (PediMACS), a national registry of VADs in children, and Pediatric Health Information System (PHIS), an administrative database of children's hospitals, were merged to assess VAD implants from 19 centers between 2012 and 2016. Resource utilization, including hospital and intensive care unit length of stay (LOS), and costs are analyzed for PCF VAD, durable VAD (DVAD), and combined PCF-DVAD support. RESULTS: Of 177 children (20% PCF VAD, 14% PCF-DVAD, 66% DVAD), those with PCF VAD or PCF-DVAD are younger (median age 4 [IQR 0-10] years and 3 [IQR 0-9] years, respectively) and more often have congenital heart disease (44%; 28%, respectively) compared to DVAD (11 [IQR 3-17] years; 14% CHD); p < 0.01 for both. Median post-VAD LOS is prolonged ranging from 43 (IQR 15-82) days in PCF VAD to 72 (IQR 55-107) days in PCF-DVAD, with significant hospitalization costs (PCF VAD $450,000 [IQR $210,000-$780,000]; PCF-DVAD $770,000 [IQR $510,000-$1,000,000]). After adjusting for patient-level factors, greater post-VAD hospital costs are associated with LOS, ECMO pre-VAD, greater chronic complex conditions, and major adverse events (p < 0.05 for all). VAD strategy and underlying cardiac disease are not associated with LOS or overall costs, although PCF VAD is associated with higher daily-level costs driven by increased pharmacy, laboratory, imaging, and clinical services costs. CONCLUSION: Pediatric PCF VAD resource utilization is staggeringly high with costs primarily driven by pre-implantation patient illness, hospital LOS, and clinical care costs.

A Model to Predict Risk of Hyperkalemia in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease Using a Large Administrative Claims Database.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is responsible for substantial clinical and economic burden. Drugs that inhibit the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors (RAASi) slow CKD progression in many common clinical scenarios. Guideline-directed medical therapy requires maximal recommended doses of RAASi, which clinicians are often reluctant to prescribe because of the associated risk of hyperkalemia (HK). OBJECTIVE: This study aims to develop and validate a model to identify individuals with CKD at elevated risk for developing HK over a 12-month period on the basis of lab, medical, and pharmacy claims. METHODS: Using claims from a large US healthcare payer, we developed a model to predict the probability of individuals identified with CKD but not HK in 2016 (baseline year [BY]) who developed HK in 2017 (prediction year [PY]). The study population was comprised of members continuously enrolled with medical and pharmacy benefits and CKD (BY). Members were excluded from the analysis if they had HK (by lab results or diagnosis code) or dialysis (BY). Prediction model performance measures included area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration, and gain and lift charts. RESULTS: Of 435,512 members identified with CKD but not HK (BY), 6235 (1.43%) showed incident HK (PY). Compared with individuals without incident HK (PY), these members had a higher comorbidity burden, use of RAASi, and healthcare utilization. The AUROC and calibration analyses showed good predictive accuracy (area under the curve [AUC]=0.843 and calibration). The top 2 HK-prediction deciles identified 75.94% of members who went on to develop HK (PY). CONCLUSION: Guideline-recommended doses of RAASi therapy can be limited by the risk of HK. Novel potassium binders may permit more patients at risk to benefit from these maximal RAASi doses. This predictive model successfully identified the risk of developing HK up to 1 year in advance.

Differences in Cost of Care by Palliation Strategy for Infants With Ductal-Dependent Pulmonary Blood Flow.

BACKGROUND: In infants with ductal-dependent pulmonary blood flow, initial palliation with patent ductus arteriosus (PDA) stent or modified Blalock-Taussig (BT) shunt have comparable mortality but discrepant length of stay, procedural complication rates and reintervention burdens, which may influence cost. The relative economic impact of these palliation strategies is unknown. METHODS AND RESULTS: Retrospective study of infants with ductal-dependent pulmonary blood flow palliated with PDA stent (n=104) or BT shunt (n=251) from 2008 to 2015 at 4 centers of the Congenital Catheterization Research Collaborative. Inflation-adjusted inpatient hospital costs were calculated for first year of life using Pediatric Health Information System data. Costs derived from outpatient catheterizations not in Pediatric Health Information System were imputed. Costs were compared using propensity score-adjusted multivariable models, to account for baseline differences between groups. After propensity score adjustment, first year of life costs were significantly lower in PDA stent ($215 825 [190 644-244 333]) than BT shunt ($249 855 [230 693-270 609]) patients ( P=0.05). After addition of imputed costs, first year of life costs were not significantly different between PDA stent ($226 403 [200 274-255 941]) and BT shunt ($252 072 [232 955-272 759]) groups ( P=0.15). Patient characteristics associated with higher costs included: younger gestational age, genetic syndrome, noncardiac diagnoses, procedural complications, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, duration of ventilation, intensive care unit and hospital length of stay and reintervention ( P≤0.02 for all). CONCLUSIONS: In this first multicenter comparative cost study of PDA stent or BT shunt as palliation for infants with ductal-dependent pulmonary blood flow, adjusted for baseline differences, PDA stent was associated with lower to equivalent costs over the first year of life. Combined with previous evidence suggesting clinical noninferiority, these findings suggest that PDA stent provides competitive health care value.

Significant mortality, morbidity and resource utilization associated with advanced heart failure in congenital heart disease in children and young adults.

BACKGROUND: Children with congenital heart disease (CHD) are at risk for advanced heart failure (AHF). We sought to define the mortality and resource utilization in CHD-related AHF in children and young adults. METHODS: All hospitalizations in the Pediatric Health Information System database involving patients ≤21 years old with a CHD diagnosis and heart failure requiring at least 7 days of continuous inotropic support between 2004 and 2015 were included. Hospitalizations including CHD surgery were excluded. RESULTS: Of 465,482 CHD hospitalizations, AHF was present in 2,712 (0.6%) [58% infant, 55% male, 30% single ventricle]. AHF therapies frequently used included extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) (15%) and cardiac transplant (16%). Ventricular assist device (VAD) support was rare (3%), although VAD use significantly increased from 2004 to 2015 (P < .0010). Hospital mortality in CHD with AHF was 26%, with higher mortality associated with single ventricle heart disease (OR 1.64, 95% CI 1.23-2.19; P = .0009), infancy (OR 1.71, 95% CI 1.17-2.5; P = .0057), non-white race (OR 1.28, 95% CI 1.04-1.59; p=0.0234), and chronic complex comorbidities (OR 1.76, 95% CI 1.34-2.30; P < .0001). Over the 11-year study period, despite the significant increase in CHD-related AHF hospitalizations (P < .0001), hospital mortality improved (P = .0011). Median hospital costs were $252,000, a 6-fold increase above those without AHF, and was primarily driven by hospital length of stay (P < .0001). CONCLUSION: AHF in children with CHD in uncommon but increasing and is associated with significant morbidity, mortality and resource utilization. Approximately 1 in 5 children do not survive to hospital discharge. Many risk factors for mortality may not be modifiable, and further study is needed to identify modifiable risk factors and improve care for this complex population.

Emergency Department Visits by Children With Congenital Heart Disease.

BACKGROUND: Data related to the epidemiology and resource utilization of congenital heart disease (CHD)-related emergency department (ED) visits in the pediatric population is limited. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this analysis was to describe national estimates of pediatric CHD-related ED visits and evaluate medical complexity, admissions, resource utilization, and mortality. METHODS: This was an epidemiological analysis of ED visit-level data from the 2006 to 2014 Nationwide Emergency Department Sample. Patients age <18 years with CHD were identified using International Classification of Diseases-9th Revision-Clinical Modification codes. We evaluated time trends using weighted regression and tested the hypothesis that medical complexity, resource utilization, and mortality are higher in CHD patients. RESULTS: A total of 420,452 CHD-related ED visits (95% confidence interval [CI]: 416,897 to 422,443 visits) were identified, accounting for 0.17% of all pediatric ED visits. Those with CHD were more likely to be <1 year of age (43% vs. 13%), and to have ≥1 complex chronic condition (35% vs. 2%). CHD-related ED visits had higher rates of inpatient admission (46% vs. 4%; adjusted odds ratio: 1.89; 95% CI: 1.85 to 1.93), higher median ED charges ($1,266 [interquartile range (IQR): $701 to $2,093] vs. $741 [IQR: $401 to $1,332]), and a higher mortality rate (1% vs. 0.04%; adjusted odds ratio: 1.25; 95% CI: 1.07 to 1.45). Adjusted median charges for CHD-related ED visits increased from $1,219 (IQR: $673 to $2,138) to $1,630 (IQR: $901 to $2,799), while the mortality rate decreased from 1.13% (95% CI: 0.71% to 1.52%) to 0.75% (95% CI: 0.41% to 1.09%) over the 9 years studied. CONCLUSIONS: Children with CHD presenting to the ED represent a medically complex population at increased risk for morbidity, mortality, and resource utilization compared with those without CHD. Over 9 years, charges increased, but the mortality rate improved.

Resource Utilization in Pediatric Patients Supported With Ventricular Assist Devices in the United States: A Multicenter Study From the Pediatric Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support and the Pediatric Health Information System.

BACKGROUND: Few data exist on resource utilization with pediatric ventricular assist devices (VADs). We tested the hypothesis that device type and adverse events are associated with increased resource utilization in pediatric patients supported with VADs. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Pediatric Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support, a national registry of VADs in patients <19 years old, and the Pediatric Health Information System, an administrative database, were merged. Univariate analysis was performed assessing the association of all factors with the total cost and length of stay first. Significant variables (P<0.05) were subjected to multivariable analysis. The study included 142 patients from 19 centers with VAD implants from October 2012 to June 2016. The median age was 9 years (interquartile range [IQR] 2-15), 84 (59%) supported with a continuous-flow VAD. Overall median hospital costs were $750 000 (IQR $539 000 to $1 100 000) with a median hospital length of stay of 81 days (IQR 54-128). On multivariable analysis, device type and postoperative complications were not associated with resource utilization. Factors associated with increased costs included patient age, lower-volume VAD center, being intubated, being on extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, number of complex chronic medical conditions, and length of stay. Among continuous-flow VAD patients, discharge to home before transplant versus remaining hospitalized was associated with lower hospital costs (median $600 000 [IQR $400 000 to $820 000] versus median $680 000 [IQR $500 000 to $970 000], P=0.03). CONCLUSION: VADs in pediatric patients are associated with high resource utilization. Increased resource utilization was associated with lower-volume VAD centers, disease severity at VAD implantation, and the presence of complex chronic medical conditions. Further study is needed to develop cost-effective strategies in this complex population.

Comparative Safety of Morphine Delivered via Intravenous Route vs. Patient-Controlled Analgesia Device for Pediatric Inpatients.

CONTEXT: Although patient-controlled analgesia (PCA) is an effective pain control modality, there is a lack of large studies on PCA safety in pediatric patients. OBJECTIVES: This study compared the delivery of morphine either via intravenous route (morphine IV) or via PCA device (morphine PCA) on risk of cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) and mechanical ventilation (MV) using a large administrative database. METHODS: We assembled a retrospective cohort of pediatric inpatients between five and 21 years old in 42 children's hospitals between 2007 and 2011 from the Pediatric Health Information System database. After propensity score matching, we created matched cohorts of morphine PCA and morphine IV patients, in both surgical and nonsurgical samples, who were similar on demographic, clinical, and hospital-level factors. We examined if PCA administration was associated with greater likelihood of CPR or MV up to two days after drug administration. RESULTS: Surgical and nonsurgical patients administered morphine PCA generally had lower odds of having MV on the baseline day and up to two days after PCA exposure, although these estimates were not statistically significant. Similarly, PCA exposure was associated with about 20%-44% lower odds of same day CPR in both surgical and nonsurgical patients, with a slightly greater reduction in the odds of CPR in the surgical patients. CONCLUSION: In this large pediatric inpatient population, morphine administered via PCA device for surgical and nonsurgical pain was not associated with an increased risk of receiving CPR or MV, and was associated with slightly better safety outcomes than intravenous morphine.

Simple prediction scores predict good and devastating outcomes after stroke more accurately than physicians.

Introduction: physicians are often asked to prognosticate soon after a patient presents with stroke. This study aimed to compare two outcome prediction scores (Five Simple Variables [FSV] score and the PLAN [Preadmission comorbidities, Level of consciousness, Age, and focal Neurologic deficit]) with informal prediction by physicians. Methods: demographic and clinical variables were prospectively collected from consecutive patients hospitalised with acute ischaemic or haemorrhagic stroke (2012-13). In-person or telephone follow-up at 6 months established vital and functional status (modified Rankin score [mRS]). Area under the receiver operating curves (AUC) was used to establish prediction score performance. Results: five hundred and seventy-five patients were included; 46% female, median age 76 years, 88% ischaemic stroke. Six months after stroke, 47% of patients had a good outcome (alive and independent, mRS 0-2) and 26% a devastating outcome (dead or severely dependent, mRS 5-6). The FSV and PLAN scores were superior to physician prediction (AUCs of 0.823-0.863 versus 0.773-0.805, P < 0.0001) for good and devastating outcomes. The FSV score was superior to the PLAN score for predicting good outcomes and vice versa for devastating outcomes (P < 0.001). Outcome prediction was more accurate for those with later presentations (>24 hours from onset). Conclusion: the FSV and PLAN scores are validated in this population for outcome prediction after both ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke. The FSV score is the least complex of all developed scores and can assist outcome prediction by physicians.

Identifying Communication-Impaired Pediatric Patients Using Detailed Hospital Administrative Data.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Pediatric inpatients with communication impairment may experience inadequate pain and symptom management. Research regarding potential variation in care among patients with and without communication impairment is hampered because existing pediatric databases do not include information about patient communication ability per se, even though these data sets do contain information about diagnoses and medical interventions that are probably correlated with the probability of communication impairment. Our objective was to develop and evaluate a classification model to identify patients in a large administrative database likely to be communication impaired. METHODS: Our sample included 236 hospitalized patients aged ≥12 months whose ability to communicate about pain had been assessed. We randomly split this sample into development (n = 118) and validation (n = 118) sets. A priori, we developed a set of specific diagnoses, technology dependencies, procedures, and medications recorded in the Pediatric Health Information System likely to be strongly associated with communication impairment. We used logistic regression modeling to calculate the probability of communication impairment for each patient in the development set, assessed the model performance, and evaluated the performance of the 11-variable model in the validation set. RESULTS: In the validation sample, the classification model showed excellent classification accuracy (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.92; sensitivity 82.6%; 95% confidence interval, 74%-100%; specificity 86.3%; 95% confidence interval, 80%-97%). For the complete sample, the predicted probability of communication impairment demonstrated excellent calibration with the observed communication impairment status. CONCLUSIONS: Hospitalized pediatric patients with communication impairment can be accurately identified in a large hospital administrative database.